Consumer Confidence Index Falls While Current Conditions Assessment Improves

The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index, which had declined in May, fell further in June. The Index now stands at 62.0 (1985 = 100), down from 64.4 in May. The Expectations Index declined to 72.3 from 77.3. The Present Situation Index, however, increased to 46.6 from 44.9 last month.

The monthly Consumer Confidence Survey, based on a probability-design random sample, is conducted for The Conference Board by Nielsen, a leading global provider of information and analytics around what consumers buy and watch. The cutoff date for the preliminary results was June 14.

Says Lynn Franco, director of Economic Indicators at The Conference Board: “Consumer Confidence declined in June, the fourth consecutive moderate decline. Consumers were somewhat more positive about current conditions but slightly more pessimistic about the short-term outlook. Income expectations, which had improved last month, declined in June. If this trend continues, spending may be restrained in the short-term. The improvement in the Present Situation Index, coupled with a moderate softening in consumer expectations, suggests there will be little change in the pace of economic activity in the near-term.”

Consumers’ assessment of current conditions improved slightly in June. Those claiming business conditions are “good” increased to 14.9 percent from 13.6 percent, however, those saying business conditions are “bad” increased to 35.1 percent from 34.7 percent. Consumers’ appraisal of the job market was mixed. Those stating jobs are “hard to get” increased to 41.5 percent from 40.9 percent while those claiming jobs are “plentiful” increased to 7.8 percent from 7.5 percent.

Consumers have grown less upbeat about the short-term outlook. The percentage of consumers anticipating business conditions to improve during the next six months declined to 15.5 percent from 16.6 percent while those expecting business conditions will worsen increased to 16.2 percent from 12.9 percent. Consumers’ outlook for the labor market was mixed. Those anticipating more jobs in the months ahead declined to 14.1 percent from 15.4 percent while those expecting fewer jobs also declined to 20.6 percent from 21.5 percent. The proportion of consumers expecting an increase in their incomes declined to 14.8 percent from 15.7 percent.

 

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