September Home Price Index Rises 5 Percent Year-Over-Year

IRVINE, Calif. — Nov. 6, 2012 — Home prices nationwide, including distressed sales, increased on a year-over-year basis by 5 percent in September 2012 compared to September 2011, according to CoreLogic’s September Home Price Index report.

This change represents the biggest increase since July 2006 and the seventh consecutive increase in home prices nationally on a year-over-year basis.  On a month-over-month basis, including distressed sales, home prices decreased by 0.3 percent in September 2012 compared to August 2012. The HPI analysis from CoreLogic shows that all but seven states are experiencing year-over-year price gains.

Excluding distressed sales, home prices nationwide also increased on a year-over-year basis by 5 percent in September 2012 compared to September 2011. On a month-over-month basis excluding distressed sales, home prices increased 0.5 percent in September 2012 compared to August 2012, the seventh consecutive month-over-month increase. Distressed sales include short sales and real estate owned (REO) transactions.

The CoreLogic Pending HPI indicates that October 2012 home prices, including distressed sales, are expected to rise by 5.7 percent on a year-over-year basis from October 2011 and fall by 0.5 percent on a month-over-month basis from September 2012 as sales exhibit a seasonal slowdown going into the winter. Excluding distressed sales, October 2012 house prices are poised to rise 6.3 percent year-over-year from October 2011 and by 0.2 percent month-over-month from September 2012. The CoreLogic Pending HPI is a proprietary and exclusive metric that provides the most current indication of trends in home prices. It is based on Multiple Listing Service (MLS) data that measure price changes for the most recent month.

"Home price improvement nationally continues to outpace our expectations, growing 5 percent year-over-year in September, the best showing since July 2006," said Mark Fleming, chief economist for CoreLogic. "While prices on a month-over-month basis are declining, as expected in the housing off-season, most states are exhibiting price increases.  Gains are particularly large in former housing bubble states and energy-industry concentrated states."

"Home prices are responding to better market fundamentals, such as reduced inventories and improved buyer demand," said Anand Nallathambi, president and CEO of CoreLogic. "So far this year, we're seeing clear signs of stabilization and improvement that show promise for a gradual recovery in the residential housing market." 

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